Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CUE
0 - 1
MAC
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LIG
4 - 3
MAC
64%
20%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 2
QUI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BSC
2 - 2
MAC
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 3
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 1
TEC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
TEC
1 - 0
ESP
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
UCE
1 - 1
TEC
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
TEC
0 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |