Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
BSC
2 - 0
MAC
55%
26%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
MAC
2 - 1
CUE
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ESP
0 - 2
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 0
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UCE
0 - 1
MAC
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
TEC
1 - 0
OLM
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2008 |
EME
1 - 0
TEC
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
TEC
0 - 4
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
DPT
5 - 0
TEC
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
TEC
2 - 1
LIG
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |