Macará vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIG
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MUS
4 - 3
MAC
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 1
BSC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
DEL
0 - 0
MAC
39%
28%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 1
CUE
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 1
CUN
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
LIG
2 - 2
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NAC
3 - 2
DEL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BSC
1 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 3
IVT
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |