Macará vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
EME
0 - 0
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 2
MAC
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 0
ORE
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 0
TEC
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 2
UCE
34%
28%
39%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
UCE
0 - 0
AUC
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 2
CUN
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CUE
2 - 0
AUC
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
AUC
4 - 1
TEC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 0
AUC
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -2 |