Macará vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
MAC
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 3
UCE
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 2
DEL
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 1
MAC
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 2
AUC
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 1
LIG
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
AUC
33%
23%
44%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 2
AUC
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
EME
0 - 2
AUC
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |