Macará vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BSC
3 - 0
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
LDU
66%
21%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
TEC
0 - 1
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 1
ORE
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
DEL
1 - 2
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
AUC
4 - 1
ORE
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CUE
3 - 3
AUC
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
AUC
3 - 3
IVT
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LIG
4 - 1
AUC
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
AUC
3 - 3
OLM
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |