Macará vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 1
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
MAC
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
IVT
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
EME
1 - 0
MAC
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 4
BSC
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 0
TOR
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AME
1 - 1
AUC
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
FAM
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
OLM
2 - 1
AUC
47%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |