Macará vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
44
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 2
MAC
18%
28%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
INJ
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAC
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 1
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 2
CUN
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
OCT
25%
28%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
INJ
3 - 1
OCT
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
OCT
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |