Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 2
IVT
39%
29%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
BSC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
UCE
0 - 3
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
LIG
1 - 1
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
CAL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
VAS
0 - 2
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
SAO
1 - 3
VAS
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
VAS
0 - 2
BRA
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
VAS
3 - 0
MEL
64%
20%
15%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 1
VAS
43%
26%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |