Copa Sudamericana 1/16
Global 7-3
Independiente del Valle vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
ORE
0 - 0
IVT
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
IVT
33%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 1
IVT
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
IVT
1 - 1
ORE
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
UCO
5 - 1
ANT
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CSL
0 - 2
UCO
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
UCO
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
OHI
1 - 0
UCO
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
3 - 1
UCO
58%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |