Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 1
IVT
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
EST
4 - 0
IVT
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IVT
2 - 0
QUI
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UCE
0 - 1
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BSC
1 - 1
RIV
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
AUC
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 2
RIV
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
UTC
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |