Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 3
IVT
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
RIV
6 - 2
IVT
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
TEC
1 - 2
IVT
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
IVT
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 2
EME
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
MUS
2 - 5
ORE
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CAU
0 - 1
MUS
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAN
2 - 1
MUS
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
MUS
1 - 1
CRZ
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MUS
4 - 3
MAC
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |