Copa Ecuador Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
OCT
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 1
IVT
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
IVT
0 - 1
TEC
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 2
IVT
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 2
IVT
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CUE
3 - 1
MUS
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 1
IVT
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AUC
0 - 0
MUS
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 1
OCT
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 0
EME
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |