Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 1
IVT
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 0
IVT
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
IVT
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
IVT
4 - 0
ORE
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 2
IVT
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
OCT
1 - 2
MUS
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 3
AUC
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 0
DEL
29%
26%
44%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
BSC
3 - 0
MUS
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LDU
0 - 0
MUS
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |