Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 2
IVT
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 2
IVT
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
IVT
0 - 0
DEL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
IVT
3 - 1
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
IVT
0 - 0
DEL
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EME
6 - 1
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 4
OLM
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
TEC
3 - 0
MUS
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 1
UCE
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LIG
4 - 0
MUS
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |