Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
EME
2 - 1
IVT
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
IVT
0 - 1
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AUC
0 - 2
IVT
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 1
IVT
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IVT
0 - 1
CUE
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 1
UCE
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 2
MUS
51%
28%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MUS
3 - 0
EME
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
MUS
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 0
DEL
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |