Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 0
IVT
36%
25%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
UCE
0 - 0
IVT
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
LIG
0 - 0
IVT
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
IVT
3 - 1
FAM
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 0
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 1
CUE
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
MUS
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 1
BSC
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 1
MUS
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 1
MUS
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |