Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
IVT
2 - 1
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
EME
3 - 2
IVT
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
IVT
2 - 1
LOJ
63%
21%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 3
IVT
28%
26%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 1
LOJ
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 1
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 1
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 0
MUS
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 1
QUI
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |