Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
IVT
2 - 2
CUE
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 0
IVT
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
IVT
3 - 1
EME
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 1
IVT
24%
27%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
MUS
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 2
AUC
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 2
MUS
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 3
NAC
38%
29%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
BSC
6 - 0
MUS
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -2 |