Independiente del Valle vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 1
IVT
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
IVT
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
IVT
2 - 2
EME
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 0
IVT
22%
25%
52%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
IVT
2 - 2
UCE
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 0
EME
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
MAN
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
UCE
29%
26%
46%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAN
51%
26%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
LIG
35%
30%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |