Primera A Finals . Final
Global 1-1
Independiente del Valle vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
IVT
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
IVT
2 - 2
ORE
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 0
IVT
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LIG
2 - 0
IVT
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
IVT
2 - 0
CUE
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LIG
3 - 1
MUS
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 2
LIG
25%
28%
48%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 2
LIG
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
TEC
0 - 2
LIG
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LIG
2 - 0
IVT
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |