Independiente del Valle vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
TEC
2 - 1
IVT
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
IVT
0 - 2
EME
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
IVT
0 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
DEL
2 - 1
IVT
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
IVT
0 - 1
DEL
53%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2018 |
LIG
3 - 0
DEL
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIG
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
LIG
2 - 1
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 2
LIG
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
BSC
0 - 1
LIG
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |