Copa Libertadores qualifying Stage 3 Final
Global 4-2
Independiente del Valle vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BSC
2 - 2
IVT
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
TEC
0 - 2
IVT
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 0
DEL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
IVT
6 - 2
UNI
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AUC
3 - 4
IVT
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 0
SCI
55%
23%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SLU
2 - 2
GRE
11%
25%
64%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 0
PEL
90%
9%
2%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
16%
27%
58%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
ECS
1 - 1
GRE
12%
26%
62%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |