Recopa Sudamerica Final
Global 1-1
Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
IVT
3 - 0
AUC
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 1
OCT
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 1
MUS
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
OCT
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 1
IVT
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RES
0 - 2
FLA
5%
15%
81%
|
90 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 3
FLA
9%
17%
74%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 4
FLA
12%
19%
69%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 3
ALH
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOA
89%
9%
3%
|
90 | 49 | 41 | 0 |