Copa Libertadores qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 1-4
Independiente del Valle vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UCE
0 - 1
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
IVT
4 - 0
MAN
67%
20%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
OLM
2 - 3
IVT
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
IVT
0 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 0
IVT
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
EST
3 - 3
GLP
50%
28%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
EST
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
EST
4 - 2
TIG
45%
29%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SLO
4 - 0
EST
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |