Independiente del Valle vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
IVT
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 1
IVT
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
IVT
0 - 2
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OLM
0 - 0
IVT
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
EME
3 - 2
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
EME
2 - 0
LOJ
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
EME
2 - 2
QUI
41%
28%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CUE
0 - 3
EME
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
EME
0 - 2
LAN
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |