Independiente del Valle vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 2
IVT
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
IVT
1 - 2
ESP
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ESP
0 - 4
IVT
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
IVT
2 - 2
QUI
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
EME
1 - 1
IVT
46%
24%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2010 |
EME
2 - 0
QUI
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 2
EME
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
EME
1 - 0
MAC
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
EME
4 - 1
OLM
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
EME
1 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |