Independiente del Valle vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UCE
0 - 1
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
IVT
4 - 0
MAN
67%
20%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
OLM
2 - 3
IVT
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
IVT
0 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 1
EME
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 0
QUI
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 2
LOJ
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 3
LIG
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BSC
1 - 0
QUI
58%
25%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |