Independiente del Valle vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LOJ
0 - 0
IVT
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CCP
3 - 0
IVT
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 0
CCP
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 1
IVT
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
IVT
5 - 0
EME
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 4
NAC
44%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
QUI
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 0
OLM
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CUE
0 - 0
QUI
41%
28%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
LIG
3 - 0
QUI
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |