Independiente del Valle vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 0
LOJ
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
IVT
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 0
IVT
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 2
IVT
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 1
DEP
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
4 - 0
QUI
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 0
LOJ
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
DEP
4 - 3
QUI
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 2
IVT
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |