Independiente del Valle vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
IVT
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
IVT
3 - 6
LOJ
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 2
IVT
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
IVT
1 - 0
ESP
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 1
IVT
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LOJ
0 - 1
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ANZ
2 - 0
QUI
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
ESP
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CUE
0 - 1
QUI
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
ANZ
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |