Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Quevedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
IVT
2 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
LIG
2 - 1
IVT
55%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
IVT
2 - 1
CUE
53%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UCE
1 - 0
IVT
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Quevedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
LOJ
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 2
DEP
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
DEP
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
EME
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |