Copa Libertadores Knock-outs Last 16
Global 1-2
Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 0
IVT
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
IVT
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GET
2 - 1
IVT
41%
28%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PIR
3 - 1
IVT
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
IVT
3 - 2
ARG
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
CHI
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
IVT
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
HUI
2 - 0
PER
23%
27%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
TFC
0 - 1
PER
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 0
PER
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |