Independiente del Valle vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
MAC
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
IVT
0 - 1
QUI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 0
LOJ
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
IVT
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
ANZ
1 - 2
ZAM
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ANZ
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ANZ
1 - 0
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
ANZ
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 1
ANZ
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |