Independiente del Valle vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
IVT
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 0
IVT
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 2
IVT
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 1
BSC
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
4 - 0
QUI
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 0
LOJ
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 0
IVT
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
BSC
3 - 1
LOJ
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |