Independiente del Valle vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 0
IVT
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 0
CUE
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
IVT
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 0
LIG
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 0
IVT
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
LOJ
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 2
EME
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
LOJ
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |