Independiente del Valle vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 6
IVT
38%
29%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
IVT
4 - 1
AUD
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AUC
0 - 2
IVT
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
IVT
3 - 0
ROC
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
IVT
4 - 0
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LOJ
2 - 0
MUN
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ROC
3 - 1
LOJ
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LOJ
1 - 1
UCE
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
IMB
3 - 1
LOJ
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LOJ
0 - 0
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |