Independiente del Valle vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
1 - 3
IVT
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
IVT
5 - 1
ROC
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MUN
1 - 1
IVT
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
IVT
3 - 1
IMB
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LOJ
1 - 0
IVT
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LOJ
3 - 1
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MUN
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 2
LOJ
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
LDU
1 - 0
LOJ
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LOJ
0 - 1
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |