Independiente del Valle vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
IVT
3 - 2
ORE
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
IVT
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
IVT
0 - 0
CUE
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
IVT
0 - 2
BRA
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 3
UCE
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 2
RIV
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
BSC
3 - 0
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
AUC
41%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 1
TEC
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |