Independiente del Valle vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UCE
0 - 1
IVT
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 0
FAM
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
EME
1 - 3
IVT
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
IVT
1 - 0
IND
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 3
MUS
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 1
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
EME
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 3
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 1
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |