Independiente del Valle vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 1
IVT
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
EME
0 - 0
IVT
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 0
BSC
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
IVT
3 - 1
DEL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
IVT
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
6 - 1
RIV
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
UCE
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
29%
29%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 1
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 1
MAC
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |