Independiente del Valle vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 1
IVT
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 2
BSC
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 1
IVT
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
IVT
3 - 1
CUE
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
UCE
1 - 1
IVT
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 2
EME
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 2
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |