Independiente del Valle vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
UCE
0 - 3
IVT
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
IVT
0 - 2
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
CUE
2 - 0
IVT
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
IVT
0 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
EME
1 - 1
IVT
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 0
BSC
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 1
MAC
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 1
BSC
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 2
CLA
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
MAC
4 - 3
EME
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |