Independiente del Valle vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BSC
1 - 1
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IVT
3 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CUE
3 - 2
IVT
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 0
LOJ
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CUE
3 - 0
IVT
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 2
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
CUE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
EME
3 - 2
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
QUI
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
5 - 1
MAC
27%
27%
45%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -2 |