Independiente del Valle vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
EME
2 - 1
IVT
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 0
IVT
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CUE
2 - 1
IVT
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
IVT
2 - 0
LOJ
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 0
CUE
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
BSC
4 - 0
MAC
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
QUI
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |