Independiente del Valle vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
LOJ
1 - 3
IVT
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
IVT
0 - 2
UCE
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
DPT
1 - 1
IVT
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
IVT
2 - 2
IMB
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
MUN
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
IMB
4 - 0
GRE
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
ROC
2 - 2
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
ROC
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |