Independiente del Valle vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
IMB
1 - 1
IVT
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
IVT
3 - 2
DPT
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
AUD
0 - 1
IVT
29%
29%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
IVT
5 - 0
AUD
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DPT
0 - 0
IVT
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
DPT
2 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
UCE
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
IMB
3 - 2
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
IMB
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UCE
7 - 1
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |