Independiente del Valle vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
BQD
0 - 3
IVT
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
IVT
2 - 1
LOJ
71%
19%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
IMB
1 - 0
IVT
40%
27%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
IVT
0 - 1
IMB
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LOJ
2 - 1
IVT
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 1
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 0
AUC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
BQD
1 - 2
GRE
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
GRE
3 - 0
BQD
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
AUC
2 - 1
GRE
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |