Independiente del Valle vs Libertad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
DEL
1 - 1
IVT
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
IVT
2 - 1
BSC
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUS
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 3
IVT
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
RIV
6 - 2
IVT
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 0
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
LIG
1 - 1
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
DEL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |