Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
DEL
2 - 1
IVT
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
IVT
0 - 1
DEL
53%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
IVT
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
EME
2 - 1
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
IVT
3 - 0
TEC
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 2
TEC
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TEC
2 - 2
NAC
36%
26%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
IVT
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCE
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |